Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 7.873300 9.142260 10.506861 12.078340 13.832838 15.726130 17.918288
2025-12-21 6.359810 8.026028 9.934072 12.263099 15.010704 18.130144 21.919669
2025-12-28 5.448034 7.371289 9.690655 12.657032 16.310597 20.622650 26.052470
2026-01-04 4.710831 6.785203 9.404140 12.891838 17.347392 22.778566 29.821687
2026-01-11 4.030164 6.159586 8.965924 12.844455 17.965208 24.388565 32.935275
2026-01-18 3.319191 5.389187 8.237631 12.321225 17.887824 25.064234 34.847466
2026-01-25 2.837715 4.873224 7.787246 12.104760 18.159073 26.152984 37.281217
2026-02-01 2.408833 4.375744 7.303990 11.783843 18.238409 26.955713 39.331228
2026-02-08 2.083197 3.993446 6.944704 11.596489 18.467659 27.939995 41.626404
2026-02-15 1.786222 3.617085 6.553186 11.319885 18.534156 28.678720 43.585922
2026-02-22 1.605849 3.413407 6.408254 11.395734 19.102069 30.121232 46.543717
2026-03-01 1.423922 3.182474 6.195061 11.342740 19.462692 31.266838 49.104624
2026-03-08 1.296583 3.037251 6.112842 11.493082 20.139882 32.897517 52.415275
2026-03-15 1.186955 2.911095 6.049968 11.665505 20.851288 34.593825 55.861386
2026-03-22 1.119343 2.859141 6.110647 12.041889 21.892367 36.804980 60.109252
2026-03-29 1.036549 2.764806 6.085332 12.266642 22.694806 38.675423 63.898709
2026-04-05 0.927245 2.598609 5.911782 12.220755 23.050715 39.870597 66.709046
2026-04-12 0.777587 2.319328 5.496779 11.717931 22.624662 39.838878 67.666540
2026-04-19 0.678567 2.140040 5.257269 11.509962 22.672632 40.534634 69.729976
2026-04-26 0.582012 1.949647 4.975600 11.201758 22.529059 40.913820 71.306317
2026-05-03 0.508514 1.804146 4.771180 11.021861 22.592534 41.616664 73.390481
2026-05-10 0.437080 1.650167 4.532132 10.756319 22.487934 42.036422 75.032522
2026-05-17 0.398260 1.579743 4.468673 10.829127 22.984933 43.447884 78.265254